Nasia, Abdualslam (2005) Multiyear Sectoral Model for the Libyan Economy. Doctoral thesis, Dublin, National College of Ireland.
PDF (Doctor of Philosophy)
The dissertation develops a number of models of relevance to the development of the Libyan economy. A Box-Jenkins model of the oil sector of the economy is developed. This shows that Libyan oil prices are highly correlated with Brent data. A Social Accounting model is developed for the economy. The model extends the Hercules model proposed by the World Bank. The underlying nonlinear programming problem is solved using GAMS. The dissertation develops a multi-year dynamic progranuning model for electricity generation in Libya. This complements the demand for energy identified by the Social Accounting model. The dissertation demonstrates the role that mathematical modelling can play in economic planning in Libya.
Key Words: Dynamic Programming, Linear Programming, Multiyear Planning, Sensitivity analysis.
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