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An Investigation into the Statistical Properties of Ranking in the Sport of Tennis

Kildunne, Pauline (2014) An Investigation into the Statistical Properties of Ranking in the Sport of Tennis. Diploma thesis, Dublin, National College of Ireland.

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Abstract

This project is set out to give an insight into the ranking system in tennis. Through statistical analysis the requirements was to produce evidence that would present satisfactory answers to the research question outlined in 2.3. Research Questions. The findings for the Grand Slam semi-finals and finals were;
- The most predicable variable was MaxW (greedy algorithm). If the odds were greater than 1.68 the players with a lower rank were most likely to win the match, the least favourites.
- Djokovic N., - rank 3 won Federer R., - rank 2
- Murray A., - rank 8 won Djokovic N., - rank 2
- Kvitova P., - rank 8 won Sharapova M., - rank 6
- In the semi-finals the favourites won the match 17 out of 18 times.
- In the finals round it looked at the odds again (MaxW), 5 out of 6 times the higher ranked player won.
- 2011, Djokovic N., - rank 1 won Nadal R., - rank 2
- 2012, Nadal R., - rank 2 (least favourite) won Djokovic N., - rank 1.
- Federer R., - rank 3 (favourite) won Murray A., - rank 4.
- When the betting odds were less than or equal to 1.23 in the final round the less favourite won the match but of course on both occasions it was Serena Williams in 2012 at the US open and Wimbledon. She ranked 4 against her opponent Azarenka V, who was ranked 1 and she was ranked number 6 against Radwanska A. ranked 3. Serena Williams 2014 is ranked at number 1.

Item Type: Thesis (Diploma)
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > Electronic computers. Computer science
T Technology > T Technology (General) > Information Technology > Electronic computers. Computer science
Depositing User: CAOIMHE NI MHAICIN
Date Deposited: 15 Dec 2014 15:58
Last Modified: 15 Dec 2014 15:59
URI: http://trap.ncirl.ie/id/eprint/1886

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